We found mixed support of the Paradox of Enrichment (POE) when evaluating both time to extinction and population stability. In fact, we found evidence in support of the POE when looking at time to extinction, yet found evidence against the POE when evaluating the coefficient of variation. Only the most vulnerable P.aurelia population (EV2) experienced a faster time to extinction along an increasing nutrient gradient, while for the other two populations increasing nutrients had no significant effect on time to extinction. These findings suggest that defense expression, whether inducible or permanent, resulted in increased survival at high levels of nutrient concentration, potentially providing evidence of a stabilizing mechanism of the POE. Conversely, increasing nutrient concentrations resulted in an increase in population stability for all three clonal populations when utilizing the coefficient of variation. These results demonstrate that, within this protist-flatworm system, we were only able to illustrate the instability proposed by Rosenzwieg (1973) when using one of two stability metrics. These results suggest that evaluating population stability is highly affected by the stability metric chosen to analyze the data, and that there may be other factors not evaluated in this study that may be resulting in this discrepancy between stability metrics. In all, this research demonstrates the mixed results that can occur when different stability metrics are chosen, and that additional research is needed to fully evaluate the stabilizing potential of inducible defenses within this system.
Research on the POE spanning nearly 50 years has shown a perplexing mix of results that both support and reject the POE in various systems (Fussmann et al., 2000; Luckinbill, 1973; Persson et al., 2001; Roy & Chattopadhyay, 2007b). Our results add to the conflicting conclusions of past work. Past research shows that there may be complexities that prevent observing the POE within systems such as ours. For example, Jensen & Ginsburg (2005) argue that most systems are not sufficiently simple enough to meet the assumptions of the paradox, and therefore result in data that reject the POE. For example, we assumed that we were testing a bitrophic system, yet within our system, protozoa do not directly consume the resource, but instead the bacteria that themselves feed on the resource. This potential for three trophic levels within our experiment does not however exclude the possibility for the POE to operate as there are several studies that demonstrate the POE in tritrophic systems (Meyer et al., 2012; Verschoor et al., 2004b). Other complexities that may violate the assumptions of the POE and have been shown to counter the effects of the POE include inedible or invulnerable prey (Abrams & Walters, 1996), unpalatable prey (Genkai-Kato & Yamamura, 1999), density dependence of predator death rates (Kirk, 1998), and spatial heterogeneity (Jensen & Ginzburg, 2005; Scheffer & De Boer, 1995). In our system, there may be unknown inducible defenses of the paramecium not accounted for within our study design that may have added to these mixed results. The inducible defenses of P.aurelia have only recently been investigated (Hammill et al., 2010), and therefore there may be other undocumented defense strategies of P.aurelia affecting our results in this study. Another poorly documented phenomenon that may have affected our results is the density dependent autotoxicity of predator death rates. Kirk (1998) found that a predatory rotifer (Synchaeta pectinate) released a toxin at high densities resulting in a toxin-mediated density dependent death rate. While there is no documentation of autotoxicity within S. virginianim, this may be a future area of research to investigate within this system to evaluate its potential role in countering the effects of the POE. Other predator-specific considerations that have been found to be stabilizing in other systems are predator interference (Rall et al., 2008), cannibalism (Chakraborty & Chattopadhyay, 2011), and the production of resting dormant eggs (Nakazawa et al., 2011). All of these ecological complexities may provide context to explain our mixed results in this study.
If any of these population-regulating or defense mechanisms were at play in this system, this might explain the stabilizing effect of nutrient enrichment that we observed in all three P.aurelia populations using the coefficient of variation. This suggests that, if a density-dependent mechanism is acting on either the predator or prey population, or that a portion of the prey population is unavailable to the predator, then the paradox would not exist as the nutrient enrichment is a benefit rather than a destabilizing risk. Yet, we did observe one result that supported the POE when looking at time to extinction. In the population that never induces (EV2), we found that there was a significantly shorter time to extinction along an increasing nutrient gradient. We did not observe any significant effect of increasing nutrient concentration on time to extinction for either of the other two populations (FD4 and AUR). If we were to expect the POE to exist in this system (and assuming that inducible defenses act to stabilize systems under enrichment) we would expect to observe an increase in the instability of the most vulnerable population (EV2) coupled with a quickened time to extinction due to its inability to maintain an invulnerable population to predators. Interestingly, increasing nutrient concentration resulted in a significantly more stable EV2 population when utilizing the coefficient of variation, even if this population did not persist as long as the other two populations.
We found competing results based on the stability metric used suggesting that more research is needed on the most appropriate stability metric or that multiple stability metrics are needed to analyze the POE. For example, Mougi & Nishimura (2008) emphasize the various ways in which stability can be analyzed and interpreted. They advocate that while most studies utilize local stability analyses, non-equilibrium dynamics may be of better use in systems with empirical and multispecies interaction data. By using stability analyses that assume systems are constantly undergoing some level of change, we can better interpret the results from studies investigating the effects of nutrient enrichment on population stability. Specifically, nonequilibrium ecology assumes that there is a limited capacity within a system to withstand change, and that these systems are heavily influenced by disturbance (Briske et al., 2017; DeAngelis & Waterhouse, 1987). However, there is much debate surrounding nonequilibrium versus equilibrium dynamics in ecology and the potential implications of using one approach over the other (Briske et al., 2017). Our research highlights a clear example of when the type of analysis used heavily affects the interpretation of the results. Additionally, it demonstrates that there may be other factors not assessed in this study that are influencing these population responses, and that each analysis is picking up different stability signals. These results support the idea of multidimensional ecological stability which was proposed by Donohue et al. (2013), stating that stability cannot be researched in isolation, rather that the different components of stability are interrelated. Future research should take into consideration the choice and variety of stability metrics when investigating stability in populations.
In all, our study adds to the mixed results of research that has investigated the validity of the POE. While we are unable to determine if inducible defenses are in fact a stabilizing mechanism within this system, there are several potential explanations and a growing body of research that demonstrate many possible stabilizing mechanisms for systems under enrichment. We did show that the stability metric used can have a significant effect on the interpretation of results and that future research should heavily consider which stability metric is most appropriate for their study goals. Additional research into the costs and benefits of inducible defenses, either in terms of the POE or how they allow prey populations to persist in changing or variable environments, can help us better understand population and community dynamics in a rapidly changing world.