3.1. Baseline characteristics
The baseline characteristics of 92 AE-COPD patients with pneumonia and 46 without pneumonia are reported in Table 1. Among them, there were 77 (83.70%) and 43 (93.48) males, and the mean ± SD ages at admission were 76.86 ± 10.24 and 74.65 ± 9.28 years, respectively. There were no differences in the duration of illness, history of inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) use, and group and stage classification of COPD between the two groups. The incidence of fever and respiratory failure was significantly greater in AE-COPD patients with pneumonia than in AE-COPD only patients (p < 0.01). The AE-COPD with pneumonia group also had higher Modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnea and COPD Assessment Test (CAT) scores (p < 0.01). We also investigated the severity of AE-COPD, and the results showed that the severe grade in AE-COPD patients with pneumonia (65.22%) was significantly higher than that in patients with only AE-COPD (19.57%), p < 0.001. Similar phenomena were observed for the total white blood cell (WBC) count, neutrophil percentage, and C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) levels, but not for eosinophil count, with p < 0.05.
3.2. Comparison of pathogen distribution between AE-COPD patients with and without pneumonia
A thorough investigation of pathogen identification was conducted utilizing real-time RT-PCR and bacterial culture in AE-COPD patients, both with and without pneumonia. As shown in Table 2, real-time PCR detected pathogens in AE-COPD patients with pneumonia and those in AE-COPD only at rates of 79.35% and 67.39%, respectively. Bacterial culture identified pathogens in these two groups at rates of 54.35% and 65.22%, respectively. Overall, employing both techniques in tandem resulted in pathogen detection rates of 92.39% and 86.96% among AE-COPD patients with pneumonia and those with AE-COPD only, respectively. We conducted a detailed analysis of the subgroups of detected pathogens. The majority of patients were positive for a single pathogen, comprising 69.41% (59/85) of patients in the pneumonia group and 75.00% (30/40) of those with only AE-COPD. Notably, single Gram-negative bacteria were the most prevalent with 52.94% (45/85) and 50% (20/40), respectively. However, there were no significant differences observed between these two groups (all p > 0.05) (Table 2).
Table 3 provides a comprehensive overview of the pathogen distribution detected by each method employed. Notably, according to both multiplex real-time PCR and bacterial culture analyses, K. pneumoniae, a Gram-negative bacterium, emerged as the most prevalent pathogen, accounting for 55.43% and 56.52% of the AE-COPD patients with pneumonia and the AE-COPD only patients, respectively. Additionally, other significant Gram-negative bacteria, such as H. influenzae, M. catarrhalis, and various Acinetobacter spp., were identified, even though with varying frequencies across the sampled population. Among the Gram-positive bacteria, S. pneumoniae was the predominant species and was detected in 17.39% and 15.22% of the samples within these two groups, respectively. Supplementary Gram-positive species included S. aureus and S. mitis, albeit in smaller proportions. Atypical bacteria and viruses were also detected. Furthermore, the presence of mixed bacterial and viral infections suggested that multiple infections were prevalent in AE-COPD patients. These findings underscore the importance of employing an integrated approach to yield more precise results and achieve a higher detection rate of pathogens, particularly through multiplex real-time PCR (see Table 2 and Table 3 for details).
3.3. Antibiotic susceptibility
To assess antibiotic resistance patterns and enhance the clarity of treatment strategies, we conducted comprehensive antimicrobial susceptibility testing on bacterial isolates, with a particular focus on the most prevalent pathogenic species. Due to the lack of specific conditions for testing H. influenzae and S. pneumoniae, the four species included in this assay were K. pneumoniae, M. catarrhalis, A. baumannii, and S. mitis(Figure 1).
We observed a distinct reversal in the antibiogram analysis of K. pneumoniae. Within the AE-COPD only group, all antibiotics except ampicillin, nitrofurantoin, and fosfomycin exhibited complete sensitivity, reaching up to 100%. However, in the AE-COPD with pneumonia group, resistance to all antibiotics was evident (Figure 1A). M. catarrhalis demonstrated susceptibility to ceftazidime and chloramphenicol in both groups, with rates exceeding 80%. However, variations in resistance emerged during testing with levofloxacin, ciprofloxacin, and sulfamethoxazole/trimethoprim. Notably, in the AE-COPD patients with pneumonia, the percentage of patients resistant to cefotaxime increased to 50% compared to that in AE-COPD only group, which maintained full sensitivity (Figure 1B). A. baumannii, a Gram-negative bacterium, has become a cause for concern due to its alarming antibiotic resistance to cefepime, ceftazidime, piperacillin, and piperacillin/tazobactam in both cohorts. Interestingly, while several antibiotics, including ciprofloxacin, levofloxacin, and ticarcillin/clavulanic acid, were still effective at treating AE-COPD only patients, their effectiveness significantly decreased to 60% in the presence of pneumonia (Figure 1C).
Additionally, an antibiogram was generated for S. mitis, a Gram-positive bacterium predominantly identified in this study through the sputum culture method ( (Figure 1D). Our findings revealed that vancomycin, linezolid, tigecycline, chloramphenicol, penicillin, and ampicillin were effective at treating both groups of patients. However, some differences in antibiotic resistance between the two groups were observed. While benzylpenicillin, cefotaxime, cefepime, and ceftriaxone displayed higher resistance in AE-COPD with pneumonia, the susceptibility to clindamycin, erythromycin, levofloxacin, and tetracycline notably decreased in the group with only AE-COPD. These results suggested the nuanced response of bacterial strains to antibiotic treatments, particularly in the context of pneumonia in AE-COPD patients.
3.4. Associations with respiratory failure and stage of COPD
The relationships between several clinical characteristics of AE-COPD patients and the four most common bacteria are shown in Table 4. Among patients positive for K. pneumoniae and M. catarrhalis, no significant differences were observed in respiratory failure status, stage and group of COPD, and severity of AE-COPD. Interestingly, the frequency ofH. influenzae infectionwas notably greater in AE-COPD patients who experienced respiratory failure (21.92%) than in those did not (9.23%), with p = 0.042.Furthermore, a higher incidence of S. pneumoniae was observed among patients with stage I (44.44%) or IV (36.36%) COPD than among those with stage II (17.39%) or III (9.72%) disease, with a p value of 0.014.
3.5. CRP level as a marker of pneumonia in AE-COPD patients
To evaluate whether certain biomarkers can differentiate between AE-COPD patients with and without pneumonia, we performed a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis (Figure 2). CRP, PCT, and the WBC count were utilized to identify pneumonia patients. The findings revealed that the CRP concentration exhibited substantial discriminatory power for distinguishing between AE-COPD patients with and without pneumonia (AUC = 0.78, p < 0.001). Conversely, the discriminative ability of PCT and the WBC count was comparatively weaker, with AUC values of 0.66 and 0.67 (p = 0.001), respectively. The calculated cutoff point for CRP was determined to be 40.8 mg/dL, achieving a sensitivity of 56% and specificity of 87% in diagnosing pneumonia.