In this paper, we described the relation of the exposure of frailty (measured by two metrics) upon two outcomes; 30-day readmission and OS in patients with IDH-mutant glioma. We found that CCI and mFI-5 were not associated with 30-day readmission. We also found that CCI and mFI-5 were not associated with the OS. However, in patients that had their first surgery at our institution (not recurrent tumors), there was an association of one frailty measure (mFI-5) with OS.
While we hypothesized that frailty would be associated with 30-day readmission and OS in our cohort, there are multiple reasons why we may have not discovered such associations. While our single-institution experience of IDH-mutant glioma is relatively large, the overall small sample size (n = 136) and resulting under-powered statistical analyses did not allow for effective testing of true associations. In short, this study is potentially marred by type II error.
Additionally, the proportion of patients with high frailty in our cohort is small, with only 13.2% (n = 18) of patients having high CCI and 25% (n = 34) of patients having high mFI-5. Overall, patients with IDH-mutant glioma tend to be younger, and thus more healthy/less frail than other brain tumor cohorts (Table 1) [27]. Patients with metastatic tumors tend to be older and have more systemic disease than patients with IDH-mutant glioma we studied in our cohort and others [28, 29]. The event rate of 30-day readmission in the cohort was low as well (5.9%, n = 8). These limitations reduce the ability to detect associations between frailty and our primary outcome.
There are other factors that may explain the lack of association of frailty with outcome in patients with glioma. The type of surgery that patients receive has a significant association with readmission, PFS, and OS. While still somewhat controversial, it is generally accepted that patients with glioma that obtain a maximal safe surgical resection have increased time to recurrence and mortality [30–33]. However, the association of extent of resection and outcome is plagued by numerous confounders. For example, there is significant bias in the administration of attempted gross total resection; neurosurgeons will not attempt aggressive resection in tumors located in eloquent areas of the brain or in older patients or patients that have significant medical comorbidities [14, 32]. Additionally, tumor genetics play a larger role in outcome in patients with glioma compared to other lesions of the brain. Patients with high grade gliomas (HGG) have shorter OS and PFS than patients with low grade gliomas (LGG) [7–9, 27, 34]. Surgery type, extent of resection, and genetic factors are examples of parameters that play a role in outcome of patients with glioma and may disrupt associations of frailty and outcome in glioma cohorts.
Other groups have described the association of frailty with OS in patients with brain tumors. Youngerman et al. found that the modified frailty index was associated with 30-day readmission, mortality, medical complications, neurological complications, prolonged length of stay, and discharge to rehabilitation facility rather than home [15]. There are major differences in the IDH-mutant glioma cohort and the cohort used for the Youngerman et al. study. First, the data to form the cohort in the Youngerman et al. study were from the American College of Surgeons NSQIP database and had a much larger sample size (n = 9149 patients). This cohort was more adequately powered to discover the associations delineated above. Second, fewer than one-half of patients in the NSQIP database had glioma. Third, the cohort had a greater percentage of patients with frailty, with 48.5% having at least low frailty.
Cloney et al. and Khalafallah et al. also related frailty measures to outcome in patients with brain tumors [14, 35]. Cloney et al. studied the exposure of frailty within a cohort of 319 geriatric patients with HGG. They found that patients with more frailty were less likely to undergo surgical resection (vs. biopsy), had longer stay in hospital, and increased overall risk of complications. Differences in this cohort compared to our IDH-mutant cohort include the older age of patients, higher rates of frailty, and more homogenous tumor type (HGG). Khalafallah et al. described the relationship of frailty and outcome in 1692 patients with brain tumors. They found that increased frailty was related to 90-day mortality, in a dose-adjusted pattern. Key differences in this cohort to ours include increased sample size, low rate of glioma diagnosis (< 30%), and very low rate of outcome of mortality (3%).
In future studies with this cohort, we could strengthen our ability to test associations between frailty and outcome in IDH-mutant glioma by increasing sample size, testing different levels of the exposure (different cut off points for “high” vs. “low” frailty), and including sensitivity analyses. Additionally, we could implement Bayesian analytic strategies to analyze this low sample size database [36].
Looking forward, we aim to enhance the predictive power of our studies by employing machine learning algorithms for imaging analysis to forecast overall survival and determine tumor types. Moreover, high-dimensional analysis of microarray data will be pursued to discern whether specific gene mutations and mutational burdens correlate with overall survival and recurrence rates. These advancements in data analysis will hopefully provide a more nuanced understanding of the interplay between frailty and patient outcomes in IDH-mutant glioma.