Table 1: Characteristics and Outcomes of Pregnancies
|
Benefiting from expectant management
|
Not- benefiting from expectant management
|
|
n= 45
|
n= 74
|
p value
|
Maternal age ¶
|
29.6 + 7
|
29.1 + 6
|
0.735*
|
Maternal age >35, n (%)
|
9 (20.0)
|
16 (21.6)
|
1.000**
|
Gravidity (IQR)
|
2 (2)
|
3 (1)
|
0.881***
|
Parity (IQR)
|
1 (2)
|
1 (2)
|
0.850***
|
Primipar, n (%)
|
29 (64.4)
|
56 (75.7)
|
0.269**
|
BMI (kg/m2) ¶
|
26 + 4
|
27 + 4
|
0.682*
|
Refugee, n (%)
|
6 (13.3)
|
10 (13.5)
|
1.000**
|
Risk factors of PPROM
|
Antepartum hemorrhageµ
, n (%)
|
10 (22.2)
|
16 (21.6)
|
1.000**
|
History of PPROM, n (%)
|
5 (11.1)
|
17 (23.0)
|
0.170**
|
History of multipl D&C, n (%)
|
8 (17.8)
|
10 (13.5)
|
0.715**
|
Smoker, n (%)
|
6 (13.3)
|
11(14.9)
|
1.000**
|
Cervical cerclage, n (%)
|
2 (4.4)
|
3 (4.1)
|
1.000
|
Cervical length, mm, n:45
|
29 (14)
|
32 (20)
|
0.668***
|
Short cervix, n= 45ð n (%)
|
4 (22.2)
|
8 (29.6)
|
0.735*****
|
Type of follow up
|
Inpatient, n
|
33 (73.3)
|
68 (91.9)
|
0.013**
|
Outpatient, n
|
12 (26.7)
|
6 (8.1)
|
GA at admission (weeks)¶
|
22+ 1.6
|
22+ 1.3
|
0.144*
|
Latency period (days)
|
16 (35)
|
4.5 (14.2)
|
0.000***
|
Latency<7 days, n (%)
|
13 (28.9)
|
43 (58.1)
|
0.004**
|
Sonographic findings
|
AFI (mm)
|
30 (22.5)
|
25 (60)
|
0.644***
|
Normal, n (%)
|
7 (15.6)
|
22 (29.7)
|
0.060****
|
Oligohydramnios, n (%)
|
21 (46.7)
|
20 (27.0)
|
Anhydramnios, n (%)
|
17 (37.8)
|
32 (43.2)
|
Anhydramnios at any time, n (%)
|
22 (48.9)
|
39 (52.7)
|
0.830**
|
Breech presentation, n (%)
|
22 (48.9)
|
34 (45.9)
|
0.902**
|
Laboratuary findings
|
WBC count at admission (x103 /uL) ¶
|
13573 + 3100
|
13900 + 4400
|
0.666*
|
WBC> 15000 x103 /uL, n (%)
|
15 (33.3)
|
27 (36.5)
|
0.880**
|
CRP levels at admission (mg/L), n:90
|
8.5 (11)
|
16 (27)
|
0.010***
|
CRP>5 mg/dL, n: 90 (%)
|
26 (72.2)
|
40 (83.3)
|
0.337**
|
GA at delivery (weeks)
|
26 (4.5)
|
23 (2.2)
|
0.000***
|
Birth weight (grams)
|
910 (570)
|
590 (226)
|
0.000***
|
Delivery before 28 gw, n (%)
|
30 (66.7)
|
66 (89.2)
|
0.017****
|
Type of delivery, n (%)
|
Vaginal delivery
|
11 (24.4)
|
37 (50.0)
|
0.010****
|
Cesarean section
|
34 (75.6)
|
37 (50.0)
|
Fetal gender, n (%)
|
Female
|
29 (64.4)
|
34 (45.9)
|
0.077**
|
Male
|
16 (35.6)
|
40 (54.1)
|
Indications of delivery, n (%)
|
Clinical chorioamnionitis
|
8 (17.8)
|
4 (5.4)
|
0.153****
|
Plasental abruption
|
6 (13.3)
|
15 (20.3)
|
Non-reassuring fetal status
|
5 (11.1)
|
8 (10.8)
|
Spontane labor
|
26 (57.8)
|
42 (56.8)
|
34. gestational weeks
|
-
|
2 (2.7)
|
Cord prolapse
|
-
|
3 (4.1)
|
Maternal morbidity, n (%)
|
11(24.4)
|
13 (17.6)
|
0.502**
|
Benefiting from expectant management: Survival to discharge
Not- benefiting from expectant management: Previable births, stillbirths, deaths in delivery room and neonatal deaths.
Data are given as median (interquartile range), mean (SD¶, standart deviation) or n (%).
IQR, Interquartile range; BMI, Body mass index; GA, Gestational age; PPROM, Preterm premature rupture of membranes; D&C, Dilatation and Curetage; AFI, Amniotic Fluid Index; WBC, White Blood Cell; CRP, C-Reactive Protein
µ first and/or second trimester vaginal bleeding
ð patients whose cervical lenght was <25 mm at admission
*Independent sample t test
** Continuity Correction
***Mann- Whitney U
****Pearson chi-square
***** Fisher’s Exact Test
Table 2: Neonatal characteristics and outcomes of neonatal survivors
|
n = 45
|
GA at delivery¶ (weeks)
|
26 (4.5)
|
Birth weight (grams)¶
|
910 (570)
|
APGAR 5. minute <7
|
21 (46.7)
|
Need of NRP
|
27 (60)
|
Type of NRP
|
|
PPV
|
13(29)
|
Intubated
|
10 (22)
|
Compression
|
3 (6.7)
|
Drugs
|
1(2.2)
|
Need of MV
|
33 (73.3)
|
Days of ıntubated (IQR)
|
11.0 (24.5)
|
Need of Nasal MV
|
41 (91.1)
|
Need of HFO
|
6 (13.3)
|
Neonatal morbidities
|
RDS
|
38 (84.4)
|
Severe BPD
|
27 (60)
|
PDA
|
26 (57.8)
|
Cultur proven sepsis
|
14 (31.1)
|
ROP stage 3-4
|
11 (24.4)
|
NEC stage 2-3
|
5 (11.1)
|
PVL
|
5 (11.1)
|
Pulmoner hemorrhage
|
4 (8.9)
|
Konvulsion
|
4 (8.9)
|
Positional deformity
|
3 (6.7)
|
IVH grade 3-4
|
2 (4.4)
|
Duration NICU stay (days)¶
|
73 (5)
|
Survival to discharge with no major morbidity, n (%)
|
15 (33.3)
|
Survival to discharge with at least one major morbidity, n (%)
|
30 (66.7)
|
Data are given as median (interquartile range) ¶ or n (%).
GA; Gestational age, NRP; Neonatal Resuscitation Program, PPV; Positive Pressure Ventilation, MV; Mechanical Ventilation, HFO; High Frequency Oscillation, RDS; Respiratory Distress Syndrome, BPD; Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia, PDA; Patent Ductus Arteriosus, ROP; Retinopathy of Prematurity, NEC; Necrotizan Enterocolitis, PVL; Periventricular Leucomalacia, IVH; Intraventricular Hemorrhage, NICU; Neonatal Intensive Care Unit
Table 3: The sensitivity analysis for GA at delivery (weeks), latency period (days), birth weight (gram) and their combination for not-benefiting ekspectant management
|
Cut-off
|
Sensitivity (95% CI)
|
Specificity (95% CI)
|
PPV (95% CI)
|
NPV (95% CI)
|
AUC+-standard error
|
p
|
GA at delivery
|
≤23
|
51,35 (39,4 - 63,1)
|
93,33
(81,7 - 98,6)
|
92,7
(80,6 - 97,5)
|
53,8
(47,7- 59,9)
|
0.79± 004
|
<0.001
|
Latency period
|
≤9
|
71,62
59,9- 81,5
|
66,67
51,0- 80,0
|
77,9
69,5- 84,5
|
58,8
48,5- 68,4
|
0.71± 005
|
<0.001
|
Birth weight
|
≤640
|
67,57
55,7- 78,0
|
82,22
67,9- 92,0
|
86,2
76,6- 92,3
|
60,7
51,9- 68,8
|
0,82+-0.04
|
<0.001
|
Combination
|
>0,4414
|
90,38 (79,0- 96,8)
|
50 (33,4- 66,6)
|
50 (33,4- 66,6)
|
79,2(60,9- 90,3)
|
0,78+-0.05
|
<0.001
|
GA; Gestational age, PPV; Positive predictive value, NPV; Negative predictive value, AUC; Area under curve