Surgical resection is the preferred treatment of choice for early-stage extrahepatic BDC, and fluorouracil-based chemotherapy remains a common treatment choice for patients undergoing resection. However, early systemic metastasis is a major feature of BDC even after resection with a negative margin. Accumulating evidence reveals that patients’ nutritional status, systemic inflammation, and autoimmune regulation play important roles in tumor progression, metastasis, and prognosis[9]. When cancer patients with malnutrition, which leading poor postoperative recovery, body’s immunity, resistance, and treatment tolerance, and higher risk of postoperative recurrence and disease progression, result in poor prognosis. Hamura et al. showed that preoperative low cachexia index (CXI) was an independent and significant risk factor for recurrence and poor prognosis, suggesting that cachexia may progress to tumor development and recurrence in patients with extrahepatic biliary tract cancer[10]. Lymphocyte count and serum albumin level were used to reflect systemic immunity and nutritional status of patients[11, 12]. Neutrophils and platelets are parts of the inflammatory network, which promotes tumor progression and metastasis. Gu’ study showed that circulating neutrophils, and monocytes were significantly higher while albumin, lymphocytes were significantly lower in patients with pancreatic cancer compared to those of HCs and other pancreatic tumors[13]. Li’ study showed that patients with resectable early-stage BDC had significantly higher levels of neutrophils, monocytes, lower levels of lymphocytes, and albumin than healthy controls (HCs) which suggest that inflammation may already exist at early stages of tumorigenesis[14].
Inflammatory response to cancer promote pro-tumor cytokines, such as tumor necrosis factor (TNF), interleukin-1(IL-1), IL-6, and IL-8 secretion, which can directly suppress the function of hepatic cells to generate albumin[15].Previous studies have found low serum albumin concentration have been correlated with poor prognoses in cancer patients in various cancers. Graziano et al. found that lower serum albumin concentration was an independent prognostic factor for poorer overall survival among patients with breast cancer regardless of the tumor stage[16]. Umehara’ study showed that low serum albumin is a poor prognostic factor in patients with non-small cell lung cancer[17]. Neutrophils may restrain the immune system by releasing of cytokines to suppress the cytolytic activity of activated T-cells, lymphocytes, and natural killer cells[18]. Some studies demonstrated that cancer could induce T cell apoptosis by activating Fas/FasL pathway, overexpressed tumor-derived antigens could stimulate lymphocytes which lead their apoptosis, and TNF-α could exhibit lymphopenia[19]. Cancer cells promote platelet production and activation by secreting active substances such as interleukin-6, while activated platelets secrete vascular endothelial growth factor, platelet-derived growth factor, and transforming growth factor-β to promote cancer angiogenesis[20]. Neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio could predict prognosis of patients with breast cancer and hepatocellular carcinoma[21, 22]. Previous studies have also shown that platelet–lymphocyte ratio exhibits reliable prognostic value in various tumors, such as those of ovarian cancer, pancreatic cancer, and bladder cancer[23].
The PNI, NRI, ALI, and SII based on lymphocyte, platelet, neutrophil count, serum albumin, and patients’ BMI could quantify the nutritional and immunological statuses of patients, which can be obtained easily from clinical tests. These indexs has been established as a useful tool to evaluate nutritional status, and it is closely related to the prognosis of various cancers[6]. Gao et al. reported that Pretreatment PNI values can be used as a feasible predictor of clinical efficacy and prognosis for patients with cervical cancer[24]. Takahashi et al. reported that low preoperative PNI level was proved to be an independent unfavorable factor affecting the OS and RFS of the patients with resectable NSCLC[25]. A recent report suggested the nutritional status may be correlated with the proportion and function of immune cells (such as T and memory cells) in the tumor microenvironment, therefore affecting the clinical efficacy of the immunotherapies[26]. Yan’s study reported that PNI is a reliable prognostic factor for advanced lung cancer patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors-based therapies[27]. Yamada’s study showed that low pretreatment PNI was an effective independent prognostic factor for shorter OS of patients with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer[28]. Liu’s study showed that geriatric NRI (GNRI) was significantly associated with progression-free survival (PFS) of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who receive immune checkpoint inhibitors[7]. Deng’s study reported that ALI was an effective indicator for predicting short- and long-term outcomes in patients with right-sided colon cancer (RCC)[29]. Zhang’s study reported that SII could predict survival patients with advanced BDC treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs)[30]. As far as we know, this is the first study to assess the prognostic relevance of PNI, NRI, ALI, and SII to patients with early-stage BDC after surgical resection. In this study, we found that low level of PNI, NRI, ALI and high level of SII were related to poor prognosis for patients with early-stage resectable extrahepatic BDC, which was consistent with previous studies.
Combination of prognostic biomarker based on indicators of preoperative inflammation, immunity, and nutritional status could be a superior prognostic indicator for patients compared with single biomarker. The nomogram is simple, easy to understand, and apply to clinical practice. It provided more accurate and reliable prognostic information in comparison with traditional staging system. In the current study, nomograms merging pathological, inflammation, and nutritional parameters were built to evaluate RFS rates and the 1-, 3‐, and 5‐year OS probabilities of patients with early-stage resectable extrahepatic BDC. The identification and calibration of the nomograms were confirmed, and these nomograms have a wide range of applications. The nomogram could be used as a convenient tool for clinicians to evaluate the prognosis facilitate better individualized treatment strategy and decision-making. A close follow-up, altering the inflammatory and nutritional status and improving the immune function of cancer patients are necessary in patients with a high risk of recurrence.
This study was the first to investigate the prognostic value of PNI, NRI, ALI, and SII for patients with early-stage resectable extrahepatic BDC. Nevertheless, our study has several limitations. This is an observational and retrospective study in a single centre with small sample size, which may cause selection bias. The relationship between the change in PNI, NRI, ALI, and SII after surgery and the prognosis of these patients was not been studied. Further multicentric studies will be needed to validate the conclusions.