Eighty-nine HCC patients were recruited. Most of patients were men (83.1%) and mean age was 62.2 years. Two patients had a history of breast cancer and one patient had a history of squamous cell carcinoma of lower lip. Most of patients had cirrhosis and only two patients were chronic hepatitis B without cirrhosis. Hepatitis B was the common cause of cirrhosis. Patients with Child-Pugh score A, B and C were 66, 15 and 5, respectively. Mean MELD score was 10.8±4.8. Median duration of HCC was 16 (4-30) months. Most of the patients were BCLC intermediate (stage 2) and treated with transarterial chemoembolization. (Table 1) Previous history of ascites, gastrointestinal bleeding and hepatic encephalopathy were 18, 12, and 1 patient, respectively. At enrollment, 14 patients had ascites, 2 patients had gastrointestinal bleeding, and 1 patient had hepatic encephalopathy.
Survived patients had higher body mass index, albumin and lower total bilirubin, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), international normalized ratio (INR), creatinine, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). (Table 1)
Table 1 Baseline characteristic
Characteristic
|
Total (n=89)
|
Survival (n=54)
|
Death (n=35)
|
Age, SD
|
62.2, 11.1
|
63.4, 11.5
|
60.3, 10.3
|
Sex, M/F
|
74/15
|
43/11
|
31/4
|
BMI, SD
|
23.6, 3.6
|
24.1, 3.7
|
22.9, 3.3
|
Smoking/Alcohol
|
48/42
|
25/21
|
23/21
|
Cirrhosis
|
87
|
52
|
35
|
Cause of cirrhosis
|
|
|
|
Alcohol
|
9
|
5
|
4
|
Hepatitis B
|
33
|
22
|
11
|
Hepatitis C
|
17
|
11
|
6
|
NAFLD
|
4
|
2
|
2
|
Cryptogenic
|
2
|
0
|
2
|
Combined
|
19
|
9
|
10
|
CTP score A/B/C
|
66/16/5
|
48/3/1
|
18/13/4
|
MELD, SD
|
10.8, 4.8
|
9.0, 2.5
|
13.4, 6.1
|
BCLC staging 0/1/2/3/4
|
5/27/44/11/2
|
5/21/26/2/0
|
0/6/18/9/2
|
Types of treatment
|
|
|
|
Surgery
|
5
|
4
|
1
|
Radiofrequency ablation
|
5
|
4
|
1
|
TACE
|
53
|
34
|
19
|
Chemotherapy
|
2
|
0
|
2
|
Best supportive care
|
3
|
0
|
3
|
Combined
|
21
|
12
|
9
|
Laboratory results
|
|
|
|
TB, SD
|
1.7, 2.8
|
1.0, 0.6
|
2.7, 4.2
|
ALT, SD
|
45.5, 30.8
|
44.0, 23.3
|
47.9, 39.9
|
AST, SD
|
75.6, 67.6
|
55.7, 35.8
|
106.1, 90.8
|
Alb, SD
|
3.6, 0.7
|
3.9, 0.6
|
3.2, 0.7
|
INR, SD
|
1.2, 0.3
|
1.1, 0.1
|
1.3, 0.3
|
Cr, SD
|
1.1, 0.6
|
1.0, 0.4
|
1.3, 0.8
|
AFP
|
10.5 (4.3-91.3)
|
6.3 (2.6-19.9)
|
508.5 (6.1-12666)
|
BMI body mass index; NAFLD nonalcoholic fatty liver disease; CTP Child Turcott Puge; MELD Model of End Stage Liver disease; BCLC Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer; TACE transarterial chemoembolization; TB total bilirubin; AST aspartate aminotransferase; ALT alanine aminotransferase, alb albumin; INR international normalized ratio; Cr creatinine; AFP alpha-fetoprotein
Mean PG-SGA score was 6.6±5.9. Patients with PG-SGA A, B and C were 46.1, 29.2 and 24.7%, respectively. Mean MNA score was 22.8±3.8. Patients classified as well-nourished, at risk of malnutrition and malnourished by MNA were 48.3, 41.6 and 10.1, respectively. Malnutrition identified by PG-SGA and MNA were 53.9% and 51.7%, respectively. (Table 2)
Table 2 Malnutrition assessed by PG-SGA and MNA
Characteristic
|
Total (n=89)
|
Survival (n=35)
|
Death (n=54)
|
PG-SGA score, SD
|
6.6, 5.9
|
4.0, 3.8
|
10.5, 6.4
|
PG-SGA
|
|
|
|
A
|
41
|
34
|
7
|
B
|
26
|
12
|
14
|
C
|
22
|
8
|
14
|
PG-SGA malnutrition
|
48
|
20
|
28
|
MNA score, SD
|
22.8, 3.8
|
24.1, 3.3
|
20.8, 3.8
|
MNA
|
|
|
|
Well-nourished
|
43
|
35
|
8
|
At risk of malnutrition
|
37
|
17
|
20
|
Malnourished
|
9
|
2
|
7
|
MNA malnutrition
|
46
|
19
|
27
|
PG-SGA Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment; MNA Mini Nutritional Assessment
Thirty patients (85.7%) died over a 1-year period. Thirty-seven (41.6%) patients developed complication and need hospitalization (decompensation 18 patients, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis 6 patients, upper GI bleeding in 6 patients, rupture in 3 patients, and acute kidney injury in 29 patients). The incidence of mortality was 2.65 cases per 100 persons (95%CI 1.87-3.75). Overall survival rate was 68.6% (95%CI 57.66-77.27) and 59.23% (95%CI 46.29-70.03) at 12 and 24 months, respectively. (Fig 1) Patients with malnutrition assessed by PG-SGA and MNA had higher mortality than patients without malnutrition (p<0.001 and 0.001). (Fig 2 and 3)
Compared to MNA, PG-SGA indicated higher sensitivity and higher negative predictive value (NPV) for predicting mortality. (Table 3) PG-SGA had higher accuracy for predicting mortality of HCC patients than MNA (AUROC PG-SGA=0.7148 and MNA=0.7098). (Fig 4)
Table 3 Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value
|
Sensitivity
|
Specificity
|
PPV
|
NPV
|
PG-SGA
|
80 (71.7-88.3)
|
63.0 (52.9-73.0)
|
58.3 (48.1-68.6)
|
82.9 (75.1-90.7)
|
MNA
|
77.1 (68.4-85.9)
|
64.8 (54.9-74.7)
|
58.7 (48.5-68.9)
|
81.4 (73.3-89.5)
|
PPV positive predictive value; NPV negative predictive value; PG-SGA Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment; MNA Mini Nutritional Assessment