The RF model shows that the correlation of the Yijun Formation with mine water hazards reaches 68%, indicating that the Yijun Formation has a great effect on the water inflow at mine working faces. This phenomenon has not been mentioned in previous articles on correlation; therefore, this phenomenon is the focus of this research.
4.1 Effect of the aquifer (aquifuge) in the coal seam roof on the water inflow at working faces in the study area
In the study area, the No. 4 coal seam is the main target of mining. The No. 4 coal seam is located in the upper member of the Yan’an Formation. In addition to the Yan’an Formation aquifer, the Zhiluo Formation and Luohe Formation aquifers also have an impact on the water damage associated with the No. 4 coal seam. Among them, the Jurassic aquifers of the Yan’an and Zhiluo Formations have low water abundance and limited water inflow. The Cretaceous Luohe Formation has moderate to high water abundance and is the main source of the water flowing into working faces. This is why the Luohe Formation has a greater weight in the RF model.
The Yijun Formation consists mostly of gravel strata, but the composition is complex, the sorting properties are poor, and the grains are completely cemented with iron cementation or colloidal cementation. The Yijun Formation acts as an aquifuge with small pores and poor connectivity. The Yijun Formation is a key layer that isolates important aquifers providing water to working faces. The thicker the Yijun Formation is, the better the blockage. Therefore, the Yijun Formation has a certain influence on the water inflow at working faces. However, the weight of the thickness of the Yijun Formation, namely, 68%, cannot be simply explained as a function of the aquifuge because the weight of the thickness from the coal seam to the Luohe Formation, which also acts as an aquifuge, is only 2%. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the factors controlling the water inflow at working faces in the Yijun Formation from more angles.
4.2 Sedimentary evolution process of the Yan’an Formation to the Luohe Formation and its effect on the water inflow at working faces
Based on previous data and the actual situation of the Binchang mining area, especially the Tingnan Coal Mine, the Yan’an Formation in the study area is considered to be a lacustrine facies, the Zhiluo and Anding Formations are fluvial facies, the Yijun Formation is an alluvial fan, and the Luohe Formation is a desert facies. The sedimentary environment and its evolution characteristics have a great impact on mine water inflow.
Based on the Tingnan Coal Mine as an example, the study area is located on the eastern margin of the Ordos Basin. The paleoterrain was generally high in the east and low in the west. The southern part of the study area is in the middle section of the Lujia − Xiaolingtai anticline, and the Dongjiazhuang anticline is in the north. Most of the study area is located on the southern flank of the Dongjiazhuang anticline and the northern flank of the Lujia − Xiaolingtai anticline, forming two wide and gentle coal accumulation sags, including the Napo–Xingcaowan–Gongposi sag in the north and the Zhongyuan–Tingkou North sag, and the two sags merged into one in the northern Tingkou township.
An analysis of the sedimentary thickness of each strata shows that the lacustrine facies (Yan’an Formation) is generally thick in the north and thin in the south; it is characterized by concentric circles of lake sediments, and the thickest point of sediments is in the Zhongyuan–Tingkou North Sag, which has a certain effect on filling the sag. The river facies (the Zhiluo Formation and the Anding Formation) are thicker in the Zhongyuan–Tingkou North Sag in the south and thinner in the Lujia–Xiaolingtai anticline in the north, which has a further filling effect (Figs. 6–8).
The alluvial fan (Yijun Formation) is relatively thick in the east and relatively thin in the west, indicating that its provenance lay to the east. Due to the characteristics of the alluvial fan (Yijun Formation), the alluvial fan did not fill and level the low-lying area. In contrast, the sediments in the Zhongyuan–Tingkou North Sag are relatively thin, and the sediments in the Lujia–Xiaolingtai anticline area are relatively thick, indicating that the alluvial fan facies increased the degree of depression (Figs. 8–9).
During deposition of the desert facies (Luohe Formation), the sag quickly filled due to the geological effects of wind. However, the bottom morphology of desert facies sediments was determined by the top boundary of the Yijun Formation. Water catchments were more likely to form in depressions in the top boundary of the Yijun Formation, and the Luohe Formation has accumulated large amounts of water. Therefore, when mining below these areas, the water inflow at working faces could be greater. Figure 9 shows that the level of the Luohe Formation above the No. 3 panel areais low, while that of the Luohe Formation above the No. 1 panel areais high. Therefore, the water inflow at working faces in the No. 3 panel areais significantly greater than that at working faces in the No. 1 panel area.
The above analysis shows that although the Yijun Formation is not an important aquifer, it determines the morphology of the bottom boundary of the Luohe Formation as the main aquifer. From this perspective, the Yijun Formation is also an important factor affecting the water inflow at working faces. Although the Luohe Formation is an important aquifer that provides water to the mine, due to its good and stable water richness, its influence weight is less than that of the Yijun Formation.
The lower part of the Luohe Formation in the study area is composed mainly of the arroyo subfacies and the gravel desert subfacies of desert facies (Lin, 2020). It can be further considered that the distribution of these subfacies in the Luohe Formation is mainly determined by the undulation of the top boundary of the underlying Yijun Formation. The high-lying part of the Yijun Formation was denuded as a sedimentary provenance. In the low-lying part of the Yijun Formation, more arroyo deposits formed relatively water-rich areas.
This also shows that the sedimentary environment of the overlying strata is strongly determined by the situation of the underlying strata, which are equivalent to the bedrock. This phenomenon should occur not only in the Binchang mining area but also in other regions with other strata. The strata beneath the aquifer affect the sedimentary subfacies of the aquifer and its water abundnce and distribution.