The guideline proposes that reducing TG to below 5.65 mmol/L as soon as possible can prevent HLAP from deteriorating (39). In this study, the target value of TG has been further optimized by a retrospective analysis of 388 patients with HLAP (Table 1). It was found that the concentration of TG on day 2 had the most significant impact on the severity of HLAP. Moreover, several metabolic related factors affecting the clearance rate of TG were further studied, especially hyperglycemia.
As can be seen, the TG on day 2 was significantly lower than on day 1 (Table 2). The mean TG in patients with MAP was 16.77 ± 13.35 mmol/L on day 1 and decreased to 4.79 ± 2.44 mmol/L on day 2, a fall of approximately 12.07 mmol/L (72.0%). For MSAP & SAP patients, the mean TG level decreased by 21.02 mmol/L (50.1%). It is worthwhile to study the TG values according to the specific number of days after onset.
It was found that only TG on day 2 (OR: 3.718; P < 0.001) was an independent risk factor for MSAP & SAP on the first 1–6 days after onset, after excluding age as a confounding factor (Table 2). And the remaining 5 days appeared to have a slight effect on the severity of HLAP, such as TG on day 1 (OR: 1.017; P = 0.515) and TG on day 3 (OR: 1.185; P = 0.300). For every 1 mmol/L increase in TG on day 2, the probability of MSAP & SAP in patients with HLAP increased 3.718-fold (95% CI: 2.042–6.77; P < 0.001). TG on day 2 had the highest accuracy to predict MSAP & SAP (Fig. 1A). The Youden index for TG on day 2 was the highest at 0.83 (Table 3), even exceeding the CRP (0.71). CRP has been recognized as an important inflammatory indicator that reflects disease severity (40–42). Previous research had shown that day 2 CRP is a highly sensitive predictor of the severity of HLAP, with a Youden index of 0.72 (8).
In this study, the best cutoff point of TG on day 2 that can predict the severity of HLAP is 7.335 mmol/L, which might be a more powerful and detailed statement of “reducing TG to below 5.65 mmol/L as soon as possible” described in the present guideline. It can be seen that 3.2% and 1.6% of patients with day 2 TG < 7.335 mmol/L developed MSAP & SAP, respectively (Fig. 1.B), and only 10.2% of patients with TG ≥ 7.335 mmol/L on day 2 developed MAP.
Although several studies have suggested that DM may be an independent risk factor for AP severity (34–36), this is not the case in our study. It is apparent from Table 2 that GLU level and DM were not independent risk factors for HLAP severity (P < 0.05). However, they did have an interfering effect on the rate of TG clearance (Table 4). Patients with comorbid DM had a 3.574-fold higher rate of TG slow-clearance (95% CI: 1.13–11.308, P < 0.001). Insulin deficiency, resistance, and elevated counter-regulatory hormones impair the ability of LPL to hydrolyze lipids (22), which have been implicated as secondary factors in HTG (19, 43, 44). Brunzell et al. found (22) that patients with HTG and untreated DM had decreased LPL-TG affinity (Km 390 mg/dl) and TG slow clearance (Vmax 27.0 mg TG/kg/hr) when compared to ones with HTG and NDM (Vmax 32.0;Km 157) (P < 0.05). Fortunately, the clearance gradually recovers after two months of GLU-lowering therapy.
More importantly, it was found that GLU on day 2, which can be clinically intervened, was also an independent risk factor for TG clearance. For every 1 mmol/L increase in GLU levels on day 2, patients had a 1.537-fold increased risk of TG slow-clearance (95% CI: 1.306–1.809, P < 0.001). There was a moderate correlation (rs = 0.567) between day 2 GLU and day 2 TG, and it was slightly better than day 1 GLU (Fig. 2).
The appropriate management of insulin is essential for patients with HLAP. Insulin combined with strict fasting has been used for more than a decade (45), with a positive efficacy no less than plasmapheresis (46). Promoting LPL function is the primary mechanism of insulin in the early stages of HLAP, which is widely accepted (47). This is true for patients with NDM who do not require GLU-lowering effects (48), as GLU fluctuates negligibly during the onset of the disease (Fig. 3.B).
However, it is speculated that insulin plays a more complicated role in patients with DM. Abnormally elevated GLU in patients with DM is associated with endogenous insulin deficiency (49, 50), and GLU must be lowered (Fig. 3.C), unlike in patients with NDM. The excess GLU at this time makes the body physiologically inclined to burn it first, resulting in TG slow-clearance. Therefore, in this case, supplementation with exogenous insulin promotes both consumption of excess GLU and hydrolysis of LPL.
An unresolved issue, however, is that appropriate and detailed GLU-lowering targets are not available in the early stages of HLAP, despite some positive results of insulin in clinical treatment (51, 52). Jing et al. found (53) that controlling the GLU in SAP patients to 6.1–8.3 mmol/L with insulin reduced the rate of concurrent infections and length of hospitalization. It is hypothesized that defined therapeutic target values and timeframes could be more beneficial for clinical implementation and broaden the scope of the applicable population.
Garg et al. suggested that lowering TG (> 5.65 mmol/L) should be the sole goal for insulin administration in patients with HLAP and that GLU should be checked frequently every hour (54). Continuous insulin therapy in the absence of appropriate GLU treatment targets may make patients more susceptible to hypoglycemia, which could be another serious blow to patients (55). Therefore, it would be better to find an accurate GLU-lowering target in order to promote the clearance of TG in the clinic.
It was found that for all HLAP patients, when the cutoff value of GLU on day 2 was 9.045 mmol/L, the Youden index (0.465) was higher than on day 1 (Table 5). This means that if it is uncertain whether the patient has comorbid DM, it would be advisable to keep the GLU value below 9.045 mmol/L on day 2, which will benefit the clearance of TG. Considering the huge difference in GLUs between DM and NDM patients (Fig. 3.A), further grouping analysis potentially would result in more accurate cutoff values of GLU on day 2. It is recommended to reduce the GLU of patients with DM to below 13.07 mmol/L on day 2, and that of patients with NDM to 6.575 mmol/L. According to the results of this study, it is possible to strictly control GLU, improve safety, and reduce difficulty by adopting different targets to reduce GLU in HLAP patients with DM or NDM.
Finally, HbA1c was neither an independent risk factor for HLAP severity (P = 0.532) nor TG clearance rate (P = 0.347). HbA1c showed a weak correlation (P < 0.01) with both day 1 (rs = 0.363) and day 2 TG (rs = 0.359), but a strong correlation (P < 0.01) with day 1 GLU (rs = 0.805) and day 2 GLU (rs = 0.719).