This is the first study in Korea to use a prospective longitudinal cohort design to investigate the predictive ability of psychosocial status for mortality among DDKT candidates on the waitlist over a relatively long follow-up period. Specifically, a major strength of this study is that it used the prospective cohort method to track a group of people with many similarities (i.e., DDKT candidates), but with certain differences in a single characteristic (i.e., psychosocial risk) over time. These aspects of the study design allowed us to overcome the limitations of retrospective studies, such as potential error due to confounding and bias (including recall bias).
We specifically only enrolled participants on the waiting list for DDKT. Those on the waiting list for living-donor kidney transplantation were excluded. It is also noteworthy that all patients were followed up for 5 years, considering that the average waiting time for Korean DDKT candidates is 5–7 years. Candidates on the waiting list must regularly visit the transplant center to receive physical examinations after registering at a transplant hospital and receiving a transplant; therefore, follow-up with 100% of the participants was possible. Furthermore, we utilized a standardized validated psychosocial assessment tool and documented a novel association between a global psychosocial assessment score and mortality in DDKT candidates. Therefore, the PACT tool (with a cutoff score of 3 points) can be regarded as an effective indicator for predicting mortality risk in DDKT candidates in Korea.
We found that the initial psychosocial risk, measured by the PACT scale, was associated with mortality over 5 years of follow-up. The risk of death was 12.28 times higher among participants with an initial PACT score < 3 (high-risk psychosocial status) than among those with a PACT score ≥ 3 (stable psychosocial status) after adjustment for covariates. Current alcohol use at baseline was also associated with a 12.93 times higher risk of mortality compared to non-current alcohol use. The kidney transplant candidacy evaluation is a difficult process that necessitates a thorough examination of each patient's medical, surgical, and psychological histories (19). In particular, since people in East Asian countries such as Korea and China, based on the cultural context of Confucianism, are hesitant to donate organs after brain death (20), psychosocial status is an important issue in DDKT candidates that merits close attention from healthcare providers, especially since the waiting period in Korea is substantially longer than in Western countries.
Turning to previous studies in the literature, the process of preparing for kidney transplantation may be demanding for patients with kidney failure and may present numerous stressors that could increase patients’ vulnerability to psychiatric illnesses and further impede entry to the kidney transplantation queue (20). Moreover, the psychosocial problems of candidates, such as depressive symptoms, affect treatment adherence (21), potentially impacting post-transplant outcomes. Therefore, psychosocial factors are critical throughout the evaluation process and may influence patient selection (22). However, psychosocial status has not generally been evaluated using transplant-specific, standardized assessment tools. In a 2-year follow-up study, psychosocial status (measured using the TERS score) was associated with the risk of graft rejection after kidney transplantation, which supports our main findings (23). Furthermore, some studies on other organ transplant candidates (liver, lung, heart) have examined pre-transplant psychosocial variables and their impact on post-transplant outcome measures, similarly to this study. However, the studies utilizing standardized measures had retrospective designs and inconsistent outcomes. For example, a study showed that the psychosocial status (measured using the PACT scale, with a cutoff score of 2 points) in female candidates for liver transplantation was a significant predictor of post-transplant mortality. However, other studies examining patients waiting for liver, heart, or lung transplantation showed no significant effects of pre-transplant psychosocial status measured using the PACT scale on post-transplant mortality. These discrepancies are thought to be due to differences in study designs and populations. To elucidate the impact of psychosocial status, we plan to examine its association with mortality after kidney transplantation in further follow-up studies.
Our study suggests the need to apply psychosocial interventions and prehabilitation with healthy behavior changes, such as the discontinuation of alcohol use, among pre-kidney transplant candidates. At the same time, transplant professionals should conduct early screening for high-risk psychosocial status using the PACT tool and provide effective strategies to reduce the potential risk of death in DDKT candidates through management programs to improve psychosocial status, aiming for a PACT score ≥ 3. During the transplant process, psychosocial support could also be an important protective factor, since patients awaiting an organ transplant are handling a stressful situation involving substantial uncertainty, which could increase anxiety and depression (24). Psychosocial interventions could lead to improvements both in symptoms and in patients’ adherence to therapy, thereby minimizing risks for DDKT and maximizing the likelihood of a successful transplant outcome.
This study has some limitations. First, the sample was from a single transplant center in Korea. Second, according to the previous literature, the number of events is recommended to be 10 per variable for Cox proportional hazard models (25, 26). Therefore, the relatively low number of events might have threatened the stability of the Cox proportional-hazards model in our study, caused bias in the regression coefficients, and reduced the predictive accuracy.