Cohort
Between 2010 and 2015, the study included 1944 patients. Details for patient enrolment were summarized in a flow chart (Fig. 1). Among these patients, 844 (43.4%) patients underwent PMRT, and 1100 (56.6%) had a mastectomy without PMRT. The median patient age was 58 (range 21–98) years. 1916 patients were female, and 28 patients were male. The information on the metastasis site was not available for all patients or all sites. Only metastases at the lung, liver, bone, and brain were reported, while other distant metastases in known site(s) such as the adrenal, pleura, malignant pleural effusion, and peritoneum were not reported. Information on lung metastasis, liver metastasis, bone metastasis, and brain metastasis was available for 1888, 1903, 1916, and 1896 patients, respectively.
The clinical characteristics differed between the two groups. Patients received PMRT were more likely related to young age (48.8% in age ≤ 65 and 29.7% in age > 65, P < 0.001), advanced T stage (45.5% in T3-4 group and 40.2% in T0-2 group, P = 0.022), lymph node metastasis (44.1% in N positive group and 30.3% in N negative group, P = 0.009), and receiving chemotherapy (50.0% in the chemotherapy group and 25.3% in no/unknown-chemotherapy group, P < 0.001). The PSM analysis was performed to balance the baseline characteristics with the following covariates: age, T stage, N stage, breast subtype, and chemotherapy. A total of 729 patients in each group was included after PSM. No significant differences were found in clinical characteristics between the PMRT and non-PMRT group. Detailed clinical characteristics were listed in Table 1. Further analyses were performed in the matched cohorts.
Table 1
Baseline patient characteristics.
|
|
Before PSM (N = 1944)
|
After PSM (N = 1458)
|
Factors
|
|
PMRT
No. (%)
|
Non-PMRT No. (%)
|
P
|
PMRT No. (%)
|
Non-PMRT No. (%)
|
P
|
Age
|
≤ 65
|
681 (48.8)
|
715 (51.2)
|
< 0.001
|
566 (50.2)
|
562 (49.8)
|
0.851
|
|
> 65
|
163 (29.7)
|
385 (70.3)
|
|
163 (49.4)
|
167 (50.6)
|
|
Sex
|
Female
|
829 (43.3)
|
1087 (56.7)
|
0.337
|
717 (49.8)
|
722 (50.2)
|
0.248
|
|
Male
|
15 (53.6)
|
13 (46.4)
|
|
12 (63.2)
|
7 (36.8)
|
|
T stage
|
0–2
|
304 (40.2)
|
453 (59.8)
|
0.022
|
268 (49.8)
|
270 (50.2)
|
0.914
|
|
3–4
|
540 (45.5)
|
647 (54.5)
|
|
461 (50.1)
|
459 (49.9)
|
|
N stage
|
Positive
|
814 (44.1)
|
1031 (55.9)
|
0.009
|
700 (49.9)
|
704 (50.1)
|
0.678
|
|
Negative
|
30 (30.3)
|
69 (69.7)
|
|
29 (53.7)
|
25 (46.3)
|
|
T3-4 or N+
|
Yes
|
833 (43.8)
|
1067 (56.2)
|
0.013
|
719 (50.0)
|
720 (50.0)
|
1.000
|
|
No
|
11 (25.0)
|
33 (75.0)
|
|
10 (52.6)
|
9 (47.4)
|
|
Chemotherapy
|
Yes
|
713 (50.0)
|
713 (50.0)
|
< 0.001
|
598 (50.0)
|
598 (50.0)
|
1.000
|
|
No/Unknown
|
131 (25.3)
|
387 (74.7)
|
|
131 (50.0)
|
131 (50.0)
|
|
Breast subtype
|
Triple negative
|
143 (43.5)
|
186 (56.5)
|
0.956
|
117 (50.6)
|
114 (49.4)
|
0.997
|
|
Her2+/HR+
|
147 (42.2)
|
201 (57.8)
|
|
130 (49.8)
|
131 (50.2)
|
|
|
Her2+/HR-
|
90 (42.9)
|
120 (57.1)
|
|
79 (50.0)
|
79 (50.0)
|
|
|
Her2-/HR+
|
464 (43.9)
|
593 (56.1)
|
|
403 (49.9)
|
405 (50.1)
|
|
Abbreviations: HR, hormone receptor; PSM, propensity score matching. |
Survival analysis
Using Kaplan-Meier survival curves, significant differences of CSS and OS were demonstrated by log-rank test (P = 0.001 for CSS, and P < 0.001 for OS). The median CSS was 43 months for the non-PMRT group and 54 months for the PMRT group. The median OS was 39 months and 49 months for the non-PMRT group and PMRT group, respectively (Fig. 2A-B).
Survival prognosticators, including sex, age, breast subtype (Triple Negative, Her2+/ Hormone receptor (HR)+, Her2+/HR-, and Her2-/HR+), T and N stage, chemotherapy, and metastatic sites were included in the Cox proportional hazard models analysis (Table 2–3). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that treatment with PMRT was an independent positive predictor for CSS (HR 0.739, 95% CI. 0.619–0.884, P = 0.001), together with non-triple negative breast subtype (P༜0.001), and receiving chemotherapy (P = 0.031). The patients with brain metastasis had the worst CSS (HR 2.811, 95%CI 1.880–4.203), followed by lung metastasis (HR 1.595, 95% CI 1.304–1.952), liver metastasis (HR 1.455,95%CI 1.170–1.809), and bone metastasis (HR 1.262,95% CI 1.043–1.527) (Table 2). Similar results were observed for OS, with PMRT was an independent favorable prognostic factor (HR 0.744, 95%CI 0.628–0.881, P = 0.001) (Table 3).
Table 2
Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses for CSS in patients after PSM.
|
|
Univariable
|
Multivariable
|
Covariates
|
|
HR (95% CI)
|
P
|
HR (97% CI)
|
P
|
Age
|
≤ 65
|
1[Reference]
|
0.106
|
|
*
|
|
༞65
|
1.181 (0.965–1.446)
|
|
|
|
Sex
|
Female
|
1[Reference]
|
0.545
|
|
*
|
|
Male
|
0.780 (0.349-1,745)
|
|
|
|
Breast subtype
|
Triple negative
|
1⋅00 (Reference)
|
༜0.001
|
1⋅00 (Reference)
|
༜0.001
|
|
Her2+/HR†+
|
0.219 (0.163-0 .295)
|
|
0.203 (0.149–0.276)
|
|
|
Her2+/HR†-
|
0.258 (0.183–0.364)
|
|
0.227 (0.157–0.327)
|
|
|
Her2-/HR†+
|
0.320 (0.261–0.392)
|
|
0.312 (0.249–0.392)
|
|
T3-4 or N
|
No
|
1
|
0.903
|
|
*
|
|
Yes
|
0.903 (0.467–1.746)
|
|
|
|
Chemotherapy
|
No/Unknown
|
1⋅00 (Reference)
|
0.031
|
1⋅00 (Reference)
|
0.005
|
Yes
|
0.794 (0.643–0.980)
|
|
0.714 (0.566–0.901)
|
|
Bone metastasis
|
No
|
1[Reference]
|
0.535
|
1[Reference]
|
0.017
|
|
Yes
|
0.947 (0.797–1.125
|
|
1.262 (1.043–1.527)
|
|
Brain metastasis
|
No
|
1[Reference]
|
༜0.001
|
1[Reference]
|
༜0.001
|
|
Yes
|
2.593 (1.759–3.821)
|
|
2.811 (1.880–4.203)
|
|
Liver metastasis
|
No
|
1[Reference]
|
0.001
|
1[Reference]
|
0.001
|
|
Yes
|
1.423 (1.159–1.748)
|
|
1.455 (1.170–1.809)
|
|
Lung metastasis
|
No
|
1[Reference]
|
༜0.001
|
1[Reference]
|
༜0.001
|
|
Yes
|
1.757 (1.451–2.129)
|
|
1.595 (1.304–1.952)
|
|
PMRT
|
No
|
1[Reference]
|
0.001
|
1[Reference]
|
0.001
|
|
Yes
|
0.745 (0.629–0.882)
|
|
0.739 (0.619–0.884)
|
|
Abbreviations: PSM, propensity score matching; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; HR†, hormone receptor; PMRT, postmastectomy radiotherapy; *, Not in the final step of multivariate analysis. |
Table 3
Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses for OS in patients after PSM.
|
|
Univariable
|
Multivariable
|
Covariates
|
|
HR (95% CI)
|
P
|
HR (97% CI)
|
P
|
Age
|
≤ 65
|
1[Reference]
|
0.002
|
|
*
|
|
༞65
|
1.349 (1.121–1.624)
|
|
|
|
Sex
|
Female
|
1[Reference]
|
0.862
|
|
*
|
|
Male
|
0.940 (0.468–1.889)
|
|
|
|
Breast subtype
|
Triple negative
|
1⋅00 (Reference)
|
༜0.001
|
1⋅00 (Reference)
|
༜0.001
|
|
Her2+/HR†+
|
0.236 (0.178–0.313)
|
|
0.224 (0.167–0.301)
|
|
|
Her2+/HR†-
|
0.265 (0.190–0.370)
|
|
0.239 (0.168–0.340)
|
|
|
Her2-/HR†+
|
0.349 (0.287–0.424)
|
|
0.336 (0.270–0.418)
|
|
T3-4 or N
|
No
|
1[Reference]
|
0.740
|
|
*
|
|
Yes
|
0.900(0.481–1.681)
|
|
|
|
Chemotherapy
|
No/Unknown
|
1[Reference]
|
0.001
|
1[Reference]
|
༜0.001
|
|
Yes
|
0.712 (0.586–0.864)
|
|
0.651 (0.525–0.808)
|
|
Bone metastasis
|
No
|
1[Reference]
|
0.576
|
1[Reference]
|
0.044
|
|
Yes
|
0.954(0.810–1.124)
|
|
1.205 (1.005–1.444)
|
|
Brain metastasis
|
No
|
1[Reference]
|
༜0.001
|
1[Reference]
|
༜0.001
|
|
Yes
|
2.630 (1.820–3.800)
|
|
2.909 (1.987–4.258)
|
|
Liver metastasis
|
No
|
1[Reference]
|
0.003
|
1[Reference]
|
0.002
|
|
Yes
|
1.349 (1.107–1.645)
|
|
1.405 (1.138–1.734)
|
|
Lung metastasis
|
No
|
1[Reference]
|
༜0.001
|
1[Reference]
|
༜0.001
|
|
Yes
|
1.667 (1.386–2.005)
|
|
1.507 (1.241–1.830)
|
|
PMRT
|
No
|
1[Reference]
|
༜0.001
|
1[Reference]
|
0.001
|
|
Yes
|
0.749 (0.638–0.880)
|
|
0.744 (0.628–0.881)
|
|
Abbreviations: PSM, propensity score matching; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; HR†, hormone receptor; PMRT, postmastectomy radiotherapy; *, Not in the final step of multivariate analysis. |
T3-4N0 or positive axillary nodes was a current clinical indication for PMRT in nonmetastatic BC. Therefore, we performed the subgroup analysis due to the T and N stages. Subgroup analyses found that CSS and OS were statistically longer in the PMRT group than in the non-PMRT group, especially in T3-4 or N + subgroup (both P < 0.001 for CSS and OS) (Fig. 3A and B). However, in the T0-2 and N- group, the PMRT group showed a significantly poor survival (P = 0.028 for CSS and P = 0.017 for OS) (Fig. 3C and D).
Considering the different outcome of breast cancer subtypes, we then performed subgroup analyses in different subtypes. PMRT was associated with favorable CSS in Her2-/HR + breast subtype (HR 0.703, 95%CI 0.558–0.888, P = 0.003), while no statistical difference was found in triple negative (HR 0.763, 95% CI 0.551–1.057, P = 0.104), Her2+/HR- subtype (HR 0.900, 95%CI 0.494–1.639, P = 0.731) and Her2+/HR+ (HR 0.669, 95%CI 0.408–1.097, P = 0.111). This trend remained consistently in OS that PMRT improved OS in Her2-/HR + breast subtype (HR 0.712, 95%CI 0.573–0.885, P = 0.002), instead of in triple negative (HR 0.765, 95% CI 0.555–1.053, P = 0.100) and Her2+/HR- subtype (HR 0.869, 95%CI 0.486–1.552, P = 0.635) and Her2+/HR+ (HR 0.685, 95%CI 0.431–1.091, P = 0.111) (Fig. 4A).
Subgroup analyses according to the site of metastasis
Only the information of four common metastasis sites, including the brain, liver, lung, and bone, was available in some patients. To explore the impact of the specific metastatic site, further analyses were conducted in the T3-4 or N + with Her2-/HR + patients who were established with clinical benefit from PMRT. The information on the metastasis site was reported in 760 patients. When simply stratified by the metastasis site, CSS was statistically longer in the PMRT group than in the non-PMRT group in bone metastasis (HR 0.717, 95% CI 0.535-0. 0.960, P = 0.025, while no statistical difference was observed in OS between PMRT and non-PMRT group (HR 0.782, 95%CI 0.594–1.030, P = 0.08). No survival benefit was observed in brain metastasis (HR 2.53, 95% CI 0.315–20.32, P = 0.383 for CSS; HR 1.811, 95% CI 0.388–8.451, P = 0.450 for OS), liver metastasis (HR 0.702, 95% CI 0.400–1.232, P = 0.218 for CSS; HR 0.702, 95% CI 0.406–1.213,P = 0.205 for OS) and lung metastasis (HR 0.825, 95% CI 0.481–1.415, P = 0.484 for CSS; HR 0.794, 95% CI 0.470–1.342, P = 0.389 for OS) (Fig. 4B).
Given that brain metastasis significantly impacted the outcome based on the previously described results, we performed further analysis in the 743 patients without brain metastasis. We found that PMRT significantly improved CSS and OS in the bone metastasis without brain metastasis group (HR 0.678, 95% CI 0.504–0.911, P = 0.01 for CSS; HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.551–0.965, P = 0.027 for OS). The median CSS and OS for the PMRT group were 56 and 52 months, and that for non-PMRT groups were 44 and 42 months (P = 0.009 for CSS and P = 0.025 for OS, respectively). However, the survival benefits were not observed in the liver metastasis without brain metastasis (HR 0.648, 95% CI 0.361–1.161, P = 0.145 for CSS; HR 0.651, 95% CI 0.369–1.149, P = 0.139 for OS), and lung metastasis without brain metastasis groups (HR 0.688, 95% CI 0.390–1.217, P = 0.199 for CSS; HR 0.667, 95% CI 0.384–1.158, P = 0.150 for OS) (Fig. 4C).