Clinicopathological characteristics
In total, 406 patients were diagnosed with mammary PD during the study period at FUSCC. The mean age at diagnosis was 52.3 years, with a range from 27 to 92 years. Of these recruited PD patients, 82% (n = 333) had concomitant IDC, and 18% (n = 73) had DCIS. Table 1 shows the clinicopathological characteristics between the PD group and the non-PD group. Patients in the PD group were older than non-PD patients (52.3 years vs. 50.5 years, P = 0.004). Compared with the non-PD group, the PD group tended to have larger tumors (≥ 2 cm: 43.1% vs. 35.5%, P < 0.001) and more lymph node metastases (39.6% vs. 37.1%, P = 0.043). In addition, the PD group was much more likely to have HR-negative (68.5% vs. 26.6%, P < 0.001), HER-2-positive (70.7% vs. 27.5%, P < 0.001) and high proportions of Ki-67 (51.5% vs. 42.5%, P < 0.001) tumors than the control patients in the non-PD group. The SEER database also demonstrated that the PD group tended to have larger tumors (≥ 2 cm: 49.8% vs. 41.6%, P < 0.001), more lymph node metastases (49.8% vs. 32.9%, P < 0.001), and a greater proportion of HR-negative (37.8% vs. 17.0%, P < 0.001) and HER-2-positive (59.2% vs. 15.3%, P < 0.001) tumors than the non-PD group (Table S1).
Table 1
Clinical characteristics of PD Group and Non-PD Group of FUSCC.
Patient Characteristics and Treatments
|
PD Group
|
Non-PD Group
|
P(b)
|
n = 406
|
n = 1218
|
No. (%)
|
No.
|
Age (mean)
|
52.3
|
50.5
|
0.004(c)
|
Tumor size(cm)
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
< 2
|
223 (54.9%)
|
687 (56.4%)
|
|
≥ 2
|
175 (43.1%)
|
432 (35.5%)
|
|
Unknown
|
8 (2.0%)
|
99 (8.1%)
|
|
Lymph node metastasis (for IDC)
|
|
|
|
Yes
|
132 (39.6%)
|
413 (37.1%)
|
0.043
|
No
|
197 (59.2%)
|
693 (62.2%)
|
|
Unknown
|
4 (1.2%)
|
8 (0.7%)
|
|
HR(a)
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
Positive
|
128 (31.5%)
|
894 (73.4%)
|
|
Negative
|
278 (68.5%)
|
324 (26.6%)
|
|
HER-2
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
Positive
|
287 (70.7%)
|
335 (27.5%)
|
|
Negative
|
57 (14.0%)
|
779 (64.0%)
|
|
Unknown
|
62 (15.3%)
|
104 (8.5%)
|
|
Ki-67
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
low (< 14%)
|
108 (26.6%)
|
620 (50.9%)
|
|
high (≥ 14%)
|
209 (51.5%)
|
518 (42.5%)
|
|
Unknown
|
89 (21.9%)
|
78 (6.4%)
|
|
Grade
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
1
|
3 (0.7%)
|
49 (4.0%)
|
|
2
|
80 (19.7%)
|
649 (53.3%)
|
|
3
|
287 (70.7%)
|
382 (31.4%)
|
|
Unknown
|
36 (8.9%)
|
138 (11.3%)
|
|
Tumor Type
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
IDC
|
333 (82.0%)
|
1114 (91.5%)
|
|
DCIS
|
73 (18.0%)
|
104 (8.5%)
|
|
Adjuvant Chemotherapy
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
Yes
|
228 (56.2%)
|
838 (68.8%)
|
|
No
|
111 (27.3%)
|
318 (26.1%)
|
|
Unknown
|
67 (16.5%)
|
62 (5.1%)
|
|
Radiotherapy
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
Yes
|
68 (16.7%)
|
400 (32.8%)
|
|
No
|
269 (66.3%)
|
740 (60.8%)
|
|
Unknown
|
69 (17.0%)
|
78 (6.4%)
|
|
Endocrine therapy
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
Yes
|
92 (22.7%)
|
774 (63.5%)
|
|
No
|
265 (65.3%)
|
370 (30.4%)
|
|
Unknown
|
49 (12.1%)
|
74 (6.1%)
|
|
Target therapy
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
Yes
|
79 (19.5%)
|
152 (12.5%)
|
|
No
|
195 (48.0%)
|
999 (82.0%)
|
|
Unknown
|
132 (32.5%)
|
67 (5.5%)
|
|
Abbreviations: PD: Paget's Disease; HR: Hormone Receptor; HER-2: Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor-2; IDC: Invasive Ductal Carcinoma; DCIS: Ductal Carcinoma In Situ; |
(a): HR positive: ER (Estrogen Receptor) positive or/and PR (Progesterone Receptor) positive. |
(b): Pearson Chi-square tests between PD Group And Non-PD Group. |
(c): T tests were used to compare age between PD Group And Non-PD Group. |
Molecular subtypes
We compared the molecular subtypes between the 333 patients diagnosed as having PD with IDC (PD-IDC group) and 1114 patients diagnosed with IDC alone (non-PD-IDC group). Figure 1 demonstrates that HER-2 overexpression accounted for the largest proportion in the PD-IDC group, while in the non-PD-IDC group, the proportion of HER-2 overexpression was the lowest (54% vs. 8%, P < 0.001). The proportion of both TNBC and luminal breast cancer was much smaller in the PD-IDC group (TNBC: 4% in the PD-IDC group vs. 17% in the non-PD-IDC group, P < 0.001; luminal A: 5% in the PD-IDC group vs. 28% in the non-PD-IDC group, P < 0.001; luminal B: 22% in the PD-IDC group vs. 39% in the non-PD-IDC group, P < 0.001). A similar trend was observed in the SEER database. Fig. S1 shows that HR-negative and HER-2-positive breast cancer, which corresponds to the HER-2 overexpression subtype, accounted for more breast cancer cases in the PD group than in the non-PD group (29% vs. 5%, P < 0.001), while HR-negative and HER-2-negative breast cancer (TNBC, 6% vs. 11%, P < 0.001) accounted for fewer breast cancer cases.
Survival analysis
For all recruited patients at FUSCC, the median follow-up time was 72.6 months (range, 5-189 months). As shown in Fig. 2a, the PD group had significantly worse DFS than the non-PD group (P=0.001, 5-year DFS: 91.8% vs. 97.3%). The survival analysis of the SEER database showed a similar result (Fig. 2b): the PD group had significantly worse BCSS than the non-PD group (P<0.001, 5-year DFS: 85.1% vs. 91.3%). However, when we compared OS between the PD-FUCSS and PD-SEER groups, we found that the PD-FUSCC group had better survival (Fig. S2, P<0.001). Next, a subgroup analysis was performed. The PD-IDC group had worse DFS than the PD-DCIS group (Fig. S3a, P=0.039). For different molecular subtypes in the PD-IDC group, the DFS of TNBC patients was the worst, while patients with HER-2-overexpression breast cancer survived best (Fig. 3a, P=0.045). Interestingly, the good prognosis of HER-2-overexpression breast cancer was only observed in patients who had used targeted therapy (Fig. 3b, 3c).
Prognostic significance
Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to test the predictive function of clinicopathological factors on DFS (Table 2). Univariate Cox regression analyses demonstrated that age, HR, tumor size, lymph node status and PD were related to poor outcomes in BC patients. After adjusting for confounding variables, PD was confirmed as an independent factor for DFS (adjusted HR, 1.647; 95% CI, 1.030-2.639; P=0.037). Other independent risk factors were age (adjusted HR, 1.595; 95% CI, 1.041-2.445; P=0.032), HR (adjusted HR, 0.518; 95% CI, 0.354-0.756; P=0.001), tumor size (adjusted HR, 1.275; 95% CI, 1.059-1.535; P=0.010) and lymph node status (adjusted HR, 3.261; 95% CI, 2.226-4.776; P<0.001). To further confirm that PD is an independent poor prognostic factor for breast cancer, we excluded variables such as age, HR, HER-2, tumor size and lymph node status by matching (Table. S3). Our matched study revealed that the PD group showed worse survival than the non-PD group (P=0.022, Fig. 4).
Table 2
Univariate and Multivariate Cox regression analyses for DFS time among PD and Non-PD Group of FUSCC.
Variable
|
Univariate
|
Multivariate
|
HR
|
95% CI
|
P value
|
HR
|
95% CI
|
P value
|
Age(year)
|
|
|
0.017
|
|
|
0.032
|
<40
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
≥40
|
1.683
|
1.098-2.578
|
|
1.595
|
1.041-2.445
|
|
HR(a)
|
|
|
0.001
|
|
|
0.001
|
Negative
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
Positive
|
0.539
|
0.379-0.767
|
|
0.518
|
0.354-0.756
|
|
Her-2
|
|
|
0.987
|
|
|
0.057
|
Negative
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
Positive
|
1.003
|
0.702-1.434
|
|
1.543
|
0.988-1.543
|
|
Tumor size(cm)
|
|
|
0.000
|
|
|
0.010
|
<2
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
≥2
|
1.509
|
1.261-1.806
|
|
1.275
|
1.059-1.535
|
|
Lymph node metastasis
|
|
|
0.000
|
|
|
0.000
|
no
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
yes
|
3.612
|
2.500-5.219
|
|
3.261
|
2.226-4.776
|
|
With Paget's Disease
|
|
|
0.005
|
|
|
0.037
|
no
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
yes
|
1.702
|
1.169-2.479
|
|
1.647
|
1.030-2.639
|
|
Abbreviations: PD: Paget's Disease; HR: Hormone Receptor; HER-2: Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor-2;
(a): HR positive: ER (Estrogen Receptor) positive or/and PR (Progesterone Receptor) positive.
|