Out of 14,209 patients records, 10,695 had complete information and were usable. Of these, 8,490 cases (79.38%) were non-respiratory diseases. From the 2,205 records with a respiratory disease diagnosis, information on the dependent variable and the covariates was available for 2,012 people (91.25%). The hospital frequency of respiratory diseases was 14.16% (2012) over the 1-year study period.
Demographic and clinical profile of the study population
The sociodemographic and clinical characteristics of the patients are summarised in Table 1. Most participants (67.94%) were recruited at the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Pediatrique Charles de Gaulle (CHUP-CDG). Most respiratory cases arose during the dry season (1,114/2012, 55.37%). The majority (54.57%) were males, 1506 (74.85%) were infants.
Inpatients represented 62.43% (1,256 cases) of all cases. Regarding the distribution of respiratory diseases, acute bronchitis was the most frequent (46.87%), followed by pneumonia (38.57%) and rhinitis (37.08%). Forty-three deaths (3.42%) were reported, and all occurred among hospitalised patients.
Table 1
Distribution of sociodemographic and clinical features
Variables | Frequency | Percentage |
Study site | | |
CHUP-CDG | 1367 | 67.94 |
CHU-YO | 645 | 32.06 |
Consultation period | | |
Dry season | 1114 | 55.37 |
Rainy season | 898 | 44.63 |
Sex | | |
Male | 1098 | 54.57 |
Female | 914 | 45.43 |
Age | | |
New-born (1–28 days) | 54 | 2.68 |
Infant (29 days-30 months excluded) | 1506 | 74.85 |
Young child (30 months-5 years included) | 265 | 13.17 |
Older child (> 5years) | 187 | 9.29 |
Hospital visits | | |
Outpatients | 756 | 37.57 |
Inpatients | 1256 | 62.43 |
Diagnosis | | |
Rhinitis | 746 | 37.08 |
Acute Bronchitis | 943 | 46.87 |
Pneumonia | 776 | 38.57 |
Inpatients’ outcomes | | |
Death | 43 | 3.42 |
Discharged | 1201 | 95.62 |
Left against medical advice | 12 | 0.96 |
Levels of airborne PM and weather condition
The daily values of PM10 were under 50 µg/m³ all through the study period. It ranged from 0.06 µg/m³ to 18.33 µg/m³. Seventy percent (75%) of PM10 concentration was lower than 2.02 µg/m³ [0.81 (0.26, 2.02) µg/m³].
PM2.5 ranged from 0.41 to 258.82 µg/m³ and has a median level of 15.94 (IQR 6.07–47.39) µg/m³. More than 25% of the PM2.5 daily values were above 25 µg/m³.
With extremes of 24.49°C and 42.44°C, the median temperature was 33.51 (31.86, 35.18) °C. Over a year, median humidity was 28.68 (IQR 13.62, 48.31) %, and humidity ranged from 5.00–63.18%. Most patients with respiratory disease presented during the rainy season 898 (44.63%).
Determinants of hospital visits for respiratory diseases
The relationship between particulate matters was assessed following different steps with the weather, sociodemographic and medical history covariates. After the univariate analysis, the effect was adjusted only for particulate matters (Table 2). Then, it was adjusted for the weather as covariates to determine their interactions with the particulate matter (Table 3). Potential confounding effects of the sociodemographic variables (Table 4) and the medical history (Table 5) were also assessed.
Table 2 shows the effect of particulate matter on hospital visits. The univariate analysis found a statistically significant association between PM2.5 and hospital visits; any 10 µg/m³ increase in PM2.5 concentration was associated with 4% reduced odds of inpatient than outpatient (ORc = 0.996 95%CI: 0.993–0.998; p = 0.003). Thus, the PM2.5 increase results in more outpatient visits than hospitalisations. There was a 3% reduced odds of hospitalisations than outpatient when sPM10 increases, but the relationship was not statistically significant (ORc = 0.997 95%CI: 0.977–1.018; p = 0.802).
Adjusting for the PM2.5 and PM10 did not confound the effects of each on hospital visits for respiratory diseases. For any unit increase of PM2.5, the likelihood of inpatient compared to outpatient was continuously and significantly reduced by about 0.4% (ORa = 0.996 95%CI: 0.993–0.999; p = 0.002). The inpatient odds compared to outpatient was about 0.5% for any unit increase in PM10, although this was not statistically significant (ORa = 0.995 95%CI: 0.975–1.016; p = 0.659). This model explained 0.99% more of the relationship between PM and hospital visits (Pseudo R2 = 0.0099) as compared to the model without PM.
Table 2
Particulate matters determinants of hospital visits for respiratory diseases
Factors | Crude OR | Adjusted OR |
OR (95% CI) | P-value | OR (95% CI) | P-value |
PM2.5 | 0.996 (0.993–0.998) | 0.003* | 0.996 (0.993–0.999) | 0.002* |
PM10 | 0.997 (0.977–1.018) | 0.802 | 0.995 (0.975–1.016) | 0.659 |
Dependent variable: hospital visits (Outpatients/Inpatients) |
The model including all particulate matters |
*Significant association at 5% |
Pseudo R2: 0.0099; N = 2012; pvalue of the model = 0.0035 |
Akaike's information criterion (AIC) = 2660.44; df = 3 |
The Table 3 adjusted for all PM with the weather. Although the model better fitted the data with a lower AIC, this model still explained 0.99% of the hospital visits compared to the simple model without the PM and the weather covariates. The relative humidity and the temperature confounded the PM effects on hospital visits by modifying the extent of the association. Any 10 µg/m³ increase in PM2.5 was significantly associated with a 9% reduced odds of inpatient than outpatient (ORa = 0.991 95% CI: 0.987–0.995; p < 0.001). The increase in PM10 (10 µg/m³) resulted now in a 1.3% increased odds of inpatient compared to outpatient; this was still not significant (ORa = 1.013 95% CI: 0.991–1.038; p = 0.239).
Besides, the temperature was not statistically associated with hospital visits (ORa = 0.984 95% CI: 0.954–1.016; p = 0.326), while the relative humidity was significantly associated with hospital visits, making a 1.5% reduced odds of inpatient compared to outpatient (ORa = 0.985 95% CI: 0.977–0.992; p < 0.001).
Table 3
Effects of particulate matters on hospital visits for respiratory diseases, adjusted for weather covariates
Factors | Crude OR | Adjusted OR |
OR (95% CI) | P-value | OR (95% CI) | P-value |
PM2.5 | 0.996 (0.993–0.998) | 0.003* | 0.991 (0.987–0.995) | < 0.001* |
PM10 | 0.997 (0.977–1.018) | 0.802 | 1.013 (0.991–1.038) | 0.239 |
Temperature | - | - | 0.984 (0.954–1.016) | 0.326 |
Humidity | - | - | 0.985 (0.977–0.992) | < 0.001* |
Dependent variable: hospital visits (Outpatients/Inpatients) |
Model adjusted for temperature and relative humidity |
*Significant association at 5% |
Pseudo R2: 0.0099; N = 2012; p-value of the model < 0001 |
Akaike's information criterion (AIC) = 2647.37; df = 5 |
To the model adjusting for the weather, the sociodemographic factors were added in Table 4. This model justified about 1.34% of the hospital visits compared to the simple model (Pseudo R2 = 0.0134) with a slightly lower AIC. The age and sex did not modify the extent of the association between PM and hospital visits found when adjusting to the weather. These sociodemographic factors did not play any confounding role for the PM. Also, they did not confound the temperature and the relative humidity effects on hospital visits, as the extent remained similar, and the statistical significance was not influenced.
Besides, sex and age were not statistically associated with respiratory diseases visits.
Table 4
Effects of particulate matters on hospital visits for respiratory diseases, adjusted for weather and sociodemographic factors
Factors | Crude OR | Adjusted OR |
OR (95% CI) | P-value | OR (95% CI) | P-value |
PM2.5 | 0.996 (0.993–0.998) | 0.003* | 0.991 (0.987–0.995) | < 0.001* |
PM10 | 0.997 (0.977–1.018) | 0.802 | 1.013 (0.990–1.037) | 0.270 |
Temperature | - | - | 0.985 (0.954–1.017) | 0.346 |
Humidity | - | - | 0.985 (0.978–0.992) | < 0.001* |
Sex | | | | |
Male | - | - | 1 | |
Female | - | - | 0.855 (0.712–1.026) | 0.093 |
Age | | | | |
Infant | - | - | 1 | |
Newborn | - | - | 1.705 (0.916–3.174) | 0.093 |
Small child | - | - | 0.846 (0.647–1.107) | 0.223 |
Older child | - | - | 1.207 (0.872–1.672) | 0.257 |
Dependent variable: hospital visits (Outpatients/Inpatients) |
Adjusted for temperature, relative humidity, and sociodemographic factors |
*Significant association at 5% |
Pseudo R2: 0.0134; N = 2012; pvalue of the model < 0.0001 |
Akaike's information criterion (AIC) = 2646.06; df = 9 |
The model, including the PM, the weather, the sociodemographic characteristics and children medical history, performed the best, based on the AIC (2598.19), and explained up to 3.43% of hospital visits compared to the simple model. Medical history did not confound the PM effects on hospital visits.
Medical history confounded the weather by modifying the relationship extent. Although it was not statistically significant, any 10°C increase in temperature was associated with a 1.9% reduced odds of inpatient than outpatient (ORa = 0.981 95% CI: 0.951–1.013; p = 0.247).
Medical history confounded the sex by modifying the statistical significance. Previously not significantly associated with hospital visits, sex was now significantly associated with hospital visits. Compared to males, females had a 18.4% reduced chance to be inpatient than outpatient ORa = 0.816 95% CI: 0.678–0.982; p = 0.031).
Further, severe acute malnutrition (ORa = 7.417 95% CI: 2.254–24.412; p = 0.001), sickle cell disease (ORa = 8.239 95% CI: 1.917–35.414; p = 0.005), heart disease (ORa = 12.150 95% CI: 2.911–50.709; p = 0.001) were associated with hospital visits for respiratory diseases, with an increase odds.
Table 5
Effects of particulate matters on hospital visits for respiratory diseases, adjusted for weather, sociodemographic factors and medical history
Factors | Crude OR | Adjusted OR |
OR (95% CI) | P-value | OR (95% CI) | P-value |
PM2.5 | 0.996 (0.993–0.998) | 0.003* | 0.991 (0.987–0.995) | < 0.001* |
PM10 | 0.997 (0.977–1.018) | 0.802 | 1.014 (0.990–1.038) | 0.248 |
Temperature | - | - | 0.981 (0.951–1.013) | 0.247 |
Humidity | - | - | 0.984 (0.977–0.992) | < 0.001* |
Sex | | | | |
Male | - | - | 1 | |
Female | - | - | 0.816 (0.678–0.982) | 0.031* |
Age | | | | |
Infant | - | - | 1 | |
Newborn | - | - | 1.786 (0.957–3.333) | 0.069 |
Small child | - | - | 0.832 (0.634–1.093) | 0.186 |
Older child | - | - | 1.153 (0.827–1.607) | 0.401 |
Medical history | | | | |
Severe acute malnutrition | | | | |
No | - | - | 1 | |
Yes | - | - | 7.417 (2.254–24.412) | 0.001* |
Sickle cell disease | | | | |
No | - | - | 1 | |
Yes | - | - | 8.239 (1.917–35.414) | 0.005* |
Heart disease | | | | |
No | - | - | 1 | |
Yes | - | - | 12.150 (2.911–50.709) | 0.001* |
Family asthma | | | | |
No | - | - | 1 | |
Yes | - | - | 0.991 (0.357–2.747) | 0.986 |
Dependent variable: hospital visits (Outpatients/Inpatients) |
Adjusted for weather, sociodemographic factors and medical history |
*Significant association at 5% |
Pseudo R2: 0.0343; N = 2012; pvalue of the model < 0.0001 |
Akaike's information criterion (AIC) = 2598.19; df = 13 |