Study design and subject participation
Study data were extracted for analysis from the COVID-19-CCC/ECMOCARD registry, the rationale and design of which have been detailed in Document S1 (Additional file 1) and previous publication(13). COVID-19-CCC/ECMOCARD is an international observational cohort study involving 354 hospitals spanning 54 countries across six continents. All participating sites obtained local ethics committee approval, and waivers of informed consent were granted for all patients. Recruiting sites and all contributors/collaborators are listed in Document S2 (Additional file 1). The COVID-19-CCC collaborates through the International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) and their Short PeRiod IncideNce sTudy of Severe Acute Respiratory Infection (SPRINT-SARI). De-identified data were collected prospectively (but not necessarily consecutively) for enrolled patients and stored via the REDCap (Vanderbilt/NIH/NCATS UL1 TRooo445 v.10.0.23) electronic data capture tool hosted at the University of Oxford in the United Kingdom and the University of Queensland in Australia.
Inclusion criteria were: (1) age ≥18 years, (2) clinically suspected or laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, (3) admission to an ICU, (4) hypertension recorded as a comorbidity at the time of admission, and (5) knowledge of whether they had previously received (taken within 14 days of admission) any antihypertensive therapy. Patients who met all the criteria from (1) to (5) were enrolled. Hypertension were defined as someone having elevated arterial blood pressure diagnosed clinically, >140mmHg systolic or >90mmHg diastolic.
Patients with pre-existing hypertension (regardless of the blood pressure on admission or during hospital stay) then were divided into two groups; 1) ACEi/ARB group, and 2) non-ACEi/ARB group, based upon reported prior use of an ACEi and/or ARB. ACEi/ARB group patients were those with hypertension who had taken ACEi and/or ARB within two weeks of admission to the ICU. Non-ACEi/ARB group patients were those with hypertension who had taken antihypertensive therapy except for ACEi and/or ARB within two weeks of admission.
Data collection and outcome measures:
For all enrolled patients, the following information was collected using an electronic case report form (Additional file 1: Document S3): demographics, comorbidities, medications, laboratory values, complications, and outcomes. Additional case report forms (Additional file 1: Document S4) were completed for patients who required mechanical ventilation or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). Analyses were performed on all eligible patients included in the database from December 1st, 2019 through December 30th, 2020. Outcomes included in-hospital mortality (primary outcome), length of ICU stay and length of general ward stay assessed up to 90 days following ICU admission.
Statistical analysis
Baseline characteristics were summarized by descriptive statistics stratified by patient group. Characteristics covered patient demographics, comorbidities, admission signs and symptoms and laboratory results within the first day of ICU admission. Complications during hospitalization, the use of different management strategies in the first 28 days of ICU admission, and final outcomes at the end of the study were also summarized. Continuous variables were reported as medians with interquartile ranges (IQR). Categorial variables were reported as frequencies with percentages. The number of available observations were reported for all variables to show levels of data completeness. Hypothesis testing of between group differences in baseline characteristics was deemed inappropriate following recommendations for statistical reporting of observational studies(14).
Length of stay and in-hospital mortality were analysed as time-to-event outcomes using multi-state survival analysis. Modelling as time-to-event outcomes allowed us to include data on all patients regardless of outcome and accounted for death and discharged alive as competing risks. Outcomes were modelled up to 90 days following admission. Independent right censoring was applied to patients who were still in hospital at 90 days, at their last known follow-up time or at date of transfer to another facility.
Expected length of stay was examined separately for each patient group using a multistate model, unadjusted for baseline characteristics. The model was defined by four states: ICU, General ward, Discharged alive, Died (Additional file 2: Figure S1). Patients entered the model through the general ward state or ICU state if admitted to ICU on the same day as hospital admission. Whilst in ICU, patients either died or returned to the general ward after being discharged from ICU. Following ICU discharge, patients either died or were discharged alive from hospital. Length of stay was estimated from expected times spent in the general ward and ICU states. Cumulative morality risks at 30, 60 and 90 days from ICU admission were estimated from cumulative incidence functions starting in the ICU state, accounting for hospital discharge as a competing risk.
Follow-up analysis examined the influence of ACEi/ARB use on the hazards of death and discharged alive, accounting for baseline characteristics. Outcomes were analysed using a multi-state Cox proportional hazard model. Baseline characteristics included as model covariates were patient group, age, sex, body mass index (BMI), week of ICU admission, geographic region and major ethnicities (Black, Latin American, South Asian, White/Caucasian, Other including minority groups) and selected comorbidities (diabetes, smoking, chronic cardiac disease, chronic kidney disease). Missing data in covariates (BMI 7%, Chronic cardiac disease <1%, Chronic kidney diseases < 1%, Diabetes < 1% and Smoking 23%) was assumed missing at random and imputed by multiple imputation using chained equations (MICE). Tests for proportionality based on Schoenfeld residuals were applied to all covariates(14). Model results were reported separately for death and discharged alive as pooled hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CI).
We further considered adjusting for the influence of baseline characteristics on reported use of ACEi/ARB versus non-ACEi/ARB treatment(s) before admission. Analysis followed recommendations for inverse probability weighting applied for time-to-event outcomes(15). Inverse probability weights were defined using propensity scores that estimated the probability of belonging to the ACEi/ARB group. Propensity scores considered the same baseline characteristics applied in the Cox proportional hazards model. Resulting propensity scores were then used to weight observations in a multi-state Cox model with patient group as the only covariate.
To evaluate differential effects between ACEi and ARB use, sensitivity analysis considered patient stratification into ACEi, ARB and non-ACEi/ARB groups; associations with the hazards of death and discharge were explored.
All analyses were completed in R 4.0.3. Code for multistate analysis of length of stay was adapted from a published study on COVID-19 patients(16).