In a median follow-up time of 7.12 years (standard deviation ± 2.4 years, range 6.2-176.8 months), biochemical recurrence was observed in 137 (20.6%) patients. Among 367 men receiving ADT, 94 (25.6%) experienced a relapse, and for 24 of those (6.5%), the relapse occurred during the ongoing ADT treatment. The 5-year age-adjusted BRFS for the entire study population was 88.7% with a standard error (ste) of 0.013. The 95-% confidence interval (CI) was [86.2%-91.2%].
Altogether, 54 (8.1%) patients were diagnosed with metastatic disease during the follow-up. The 5-year MFS was 94.8% (ste: 0.009, [93.0%-96.6%]). The primary metastatic sites were bone (N = 43, 79.6%), lymph nodes (N = 17, 31.5%), lungs (N = 5, 9.3%), adrenal glands (N = 2, 3.7%), orbit (N = 1, 1.9%) and liver (N = 1, 1.9%).
158 men (23.8%) died during the follow-up. The 5-year age-adjusted PCSS was 97.9% (ste: 0.006, [96.7%-99.1%]), and the 5-year OS was 88.9% (ste: 0.012, [86.5%-91.3%]). Three leading causes of death were cardiovascular disease (N = 39, 24.7%), followed by other malignancies than prostate cancer (N = 33, 20.9%) and finally prostate cancer (N = 31, 19.6%). The cause of death remained unknown in 13 cases (8.2%) but was unlikely prostate cancer-related, as no biochemical recurrence or metastatic disease was registered for these cases. Other causes included neurological (including dementia, N = 18, 11.4%), infection (N = 10, 6.3%), pulmonary fibrosis or COPD (N = 9, 5.7%), trauma (N = 3, 1.9%) and uremia (N = 2, 1.3%).
Prognostic factors
The main findings considering prognostic factors on overall survival are listed in Table 4. In the first model, we evaluated how Charlson Comorbidity Index influenced overall survival after EBRT (Fig. 2). Overall, CCI had a statistically significant effect (P = < 0.001). Compared to the baseline patients with no comorbidity (CCI = 0, N = 298), the population with severe comorbidity (CCI = 4, N = 42) had over 6-fold increased a risk of death with a hazard ratio (HR) of 6.11 (95-% CI = [3.76–9.92], P = < 0.001). Men with mild to moderate comorbidity (CCI = 1–3, N = 324), had not a statistically significant difference compared to the CCI = 0 population (HR = 1.38, [0.97–1.97], P = 0.078). Other factors that had an effect on overall survival were Gleason score (HR = 1.21, [1.04–1.41], P = 0.015), T-stage (HR = 1.11, [1.01–1.21], P = 0.030) and overall performance score (HR = 1.63, [1.29–2.05], P = < 0.001). Androgen deprivation therapy (P = 0.70), age (P = 0.27), N-grade (P = 0.75) and PSA-value before diagnosis (P = 0.15) were not a statistically significant prognostic factors in these patients.
Table 4
Prognostic factors associated with overall mortality after EBRT
Model 1. Charlson Comorbidity Index used as categorical variant. |
Factor | HR | 95-% CI | P-value |
CCI = 0 (N = 298) | | | < 0.001 |
CCI = 1–3 (N = 324) | 1.38 | [0.97–1.97] | 0.078 (NS) |
CCI = 4 or more (N = 42) | 6.11 | [3.76–9.92] | < 0.001 |
Gleason score | 1.21 | [1.04–1.41] | 0.015 |
T-grade | 1.11 | [1.01–1.21] | 0.030 |
Zubrod score | 1.63 | [1.29–2.05] | < 0.001 |
Not significant: Androgen deprivation therapy (P = 0.70), age (P = 0.27), N-grade (P = 0.75), PSA-value before diagnosis (P = 0.15). |
Model 2. Performance status used as categorical variant. |
Z = 0 (N = 348) | | | < 0.001 |
Z = 1 (N = 281) | 2.20 | [1.54–3.13] | < 0.001 |
Z = 2 or more (N = 36) | 2.22 | [1.21–4.09] | 0.010 |
Charlson Comorbidity Index | 1.38 | [1.25–1.51] | < 0.001 |
Gleason score | 1.19 | [1.02–1.39] | 0.026 |
T-grade | 1.11 | [1.02–1.22] | 0.022 |
Not significant: Androgen deprivation therapy (P = 0.88), age (P = 0.18), N-grade (P = 0.77), PSA-value before diagnosis (P = 0.080). |
N = 665. Abbreviations: NS = not significant. HR = hazard ratio. CI = confidence interval. |
In the second model, overall performance score was used as categorical variant (Fig. 3). Compared to the baseline (Z = 0, N = 348), men with mild restrictions (Z = 1, N = 281) had an increased risk of death (HR = 2.20, [1.54–3.13], P = < 0.001). Similarly, men with moderate to severe restrictions (Z ≥ 2, N = 36) had an increased risk (HR = 2.22, [1.21–4.09, P = 0.010) compared to the Z = 0 patients. There was not a statistically significant difference between groups Z = 1 and Z ≥ 2. Other factors that increased the risk (as in Model 1) were Gleason score (HR = 1.19, [1.02–1.39, P = 0.026) and T-stage (HR = 1.11, [1.02–1.22], P = 0.022), as well as CCI score (HR = 1.38, [1.25–1.51], P = < 0.001).
Neither comorbidity nor overall performance score increased the risk of biochemical recurrence (P-values 0.24 and 0.15, respectively), emergence of the first metastasis (P-values 0.59 and 0.83) or prostate-cancer related mortality (P-values 0.076 and 0.31). T-stage (HR = 1.23, [1.11–1.36], P < 0.001) and Gleason score (HR = 1.19, [1.02–1.41], P = 0.036) increased the risk of biochemical relapse. T-stage (HR = 1.29, [1.08–1.53], P = 0.004), N-stage (HR = 4.01, [1.22–13.1], P = 0.022) and Gleason score (HR = 1.63, [1.24–2.15], P < 0.001) declined the metastasis-free survival. T-stage (HR = 1.52, [1.19–1.94], P = 0.001) and Gleason score (HR = 1.44, [1.01–2.06], P = 0.044) increased the risk of prostate-cancer death.